This asteroid is going to make a close fly-by of the Earth on Friday 15 Feb. It’s going to pass so close, that it will fly within the radius of geosynchronous/geostationary satellites (35000km/22000mi). This approx 45m (150ft – about half the size of a football stadium – a 130,000 metric ton half-size football stadium!) asteroid will pass the Earth at a distance of 27000km (17000mi). But there is NO RISK of Impact – we are perfectly safe.
Also – even though it will pass within the range of some satellites, the chance of hitting one is quite low. It will pass through our orbital plane from south to north, inside the geosynchronous orbit – in an area where there are very few satellites.
(Artist rendering)
Closest approach will occur at around 19:25UTC (14:25EST). It will be magnitude 7 – too faint for naked eye viewing, but potentially viewable in binoculars and telescopes. Regrettably we won’t be able to see this fly-by ourselves since it will still be daylight for our area. The best viewing will be from Asia, Africa and Europe. It will be moving in a south to north direction, ending up passing through Ursa Major. By the time night falls for us, it will be very high in the sky and will have faded to about magnitude 12 which will be a challenge, even in larger scopes. It’s apparent motion across the sky will be quite quick – approx the diameter of the Full Moon every 45 seconds at closest approach (a little slower as it recedes).
(Track of asteroid across the sky)
Click to enlarge
Asteroids of this size pass this close to Earth on average, every 40 years and impact about every 1200 years. The Tunguska event of 1908 would be comparable if this asteroid did hit us (and I repeat, it will NOT hit the Earth). So we’re not due to be hit by another asteroid of this size for about 1100 more years. But it is a fairly rare occurrence and something you should try to see.
How can you observe this asteroid if it’s not going to be visible from North America?
If you wanted to catch it as it receded from the Earth (once it was dark here), you could try to load ephemeris for the asteroid’s track using programs like Stellarium or Carte Du Ciel. But it will pass so close that the Earth’s gravity is going to perturb it’s orbit and the ephemeris will not be correct for the entire track.
Another option is to use JPL’s web site which takes into account Earth’s gravity and provides the correct calculations, but this means having a computer to track your scope. Can be done, but tricky.
(It’s important to note that even in amateur telescopes, it’s going to be a faint small star-like point moving across the sky. You won’t see any details.)
http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/horizons.cgi
Fortunately a much easier 3rd options exists. There will be a number of telescopes on the correct side of the Earth that will be tracking this asteroid and they will be streaming online. So you can watch the fly-by live.
Clay Center Observatory:
http://www.ustream.tv/channel/clay-center-observatory
Virtual Telescope Project in Europe:
http://www.virtualtelescope.eu/webtv/
Slooh Space Camera:
http://events.slooh.com/
I haven’t seen any productions from Clay before, but Slooh and Virtual Telescope usually have some good commentators.
The following web sites have more information about this asteroid fly-by.
Universe Today – asteroid-2012-da14-observing-prospects-and-how-to-see-it
Planetary Society – Guide-to-2012-DA14
NASA Science News – 28jan_2012da/
Sky And Telescope – Asteroid-DA14-to-Zip-Past-Earth
Which ever method you use, be sure to catch this rare event.
And remember – keep looking up.






